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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Juve Stabia – Padova

Home 44% 2.27 fair
Draw 31% 3.25 fair
Away 25% 3.98 fair
Expected Goals2.02
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.1% → 44.1% -1.0 pp
Draw 30.1% → 30.8% +0.7 pp
Away 24.8% → 25.1% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 32.9% → 32.7% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 38.7% → 39.5% +0.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.01 → 2.02 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.82 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.73 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.1% 2.27 —
30.8% 3.25 —
25.1% 3.98 —
74.9% 1.34 —
55.9% 1.79 —
69.2% 1.45 —

Half-time result

36.1% 2.77 —
44.3% 2.26 —
19.6% 5.11 —

Half-time double chance

80.4% 1.24 —
63.8% 1.57 —
55.7% 1.79 —

Both halves

10.8% 9.29 —

HT/FT

29.7% 3.36 —
5.3% 18.73 —
13.1% 7.65 —
21.6% 4.64 —
9.6% 10.41 —
3.9% 25.71 —
14.4% 6.93 —

HT/FT double chance

69.7% 1.43 —
53.5% 1.87 —
37.6% 2.66 —
40.2% 2.49 —
46.5% 2.15 —
24.8% 4.04 —
39.8% 2.51 —
38.4% 2.6 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Total goals

86.7% 1.15 —
60.4% 1.66 —
32.7% 3.06 —
14.5% 6.9 —
39.6% 2.52 —
67.3% 1.49 —
85.5% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

65.8% 1.52 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Home team goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Away team goals

56.4% 1.77 —
19.7% 5.07 —

Both to score

39.5% 2.53 —

Corners

71.8% 1.39 —
61.2% 1.63 —
49.9% 2.0 —
39.5% 2.53 —
30.1% 3.32 —
38.8% 2.58 —
50.1% 2.0 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.9% 1.43 —

Home corners

77.8% 1.29 —
64.0% 1.56 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Away corners

54.6% 1.83 —
37.5% 2.67 —
24.1% 4.15 —

Cards

81.9% 1.22 —
66.5% 1.5 —
49.9% 2.0 —
34.3% 2.91 —
33.5% 2.99 —
50.1% 2.0 —
65.7% 1.52 —

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