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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Cremonese – Carrarese

Home 57% 1.75 fair
Draw 24% 4.13 fair
Away 19% 5.37 fair
Expected Goals2.41
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.1% → 57.2% +4.1 pp
Draw 25.7% → 24.2% -1.4 pp
Away 21.2% → 18.6% -2.6 pp
Over 2.5 42.2% → 43.0% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 44.1% → 43.6% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.41 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.07 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.2% 1.75 —
24.2% 4.13 —
18.6% 5.37 —
81.4% 1.23 —
42.8% 2.33 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

38.5% 2.6 —
44.0% 2.27 —
17.5% 5.72 —

Half-time double chance

82.5% 1.21 —
61.5% 1.63 —
56.0% 1.79 —

Both halves

17.5% 5.7 —

HT/FT

33.8% 2.96 —
3.8% 26.53 —
20.7% 4.83 —
16.2% 6.17 —
7.2% 13.95 —
4.2% 23.53 —
10.5% 9.5 —

HT/FT double chance

74.4% 1.34 —
62.6% 1.6 —
28.1% 3.56 —
44.5% 2.25 —
47.9% 2.09 —
19.5% 5.14 —
43.8% 2.28 —
41.1% 2.43 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Total goals

91.1% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —
43.0% 2.32 —
22.0% 4.54 —
30.5% 3.27 —
57.0% 1.76 —
78.0% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

65.5% 1.53 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Home team goals

80.2% 1.25 —
48.2% 2.07 —

Away team goals

54.5% 1.83 —
19.3% 5.18 —

Both to score

43.6% 2.29 —

Corners

68.7% 1.46 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.6% 2.15 —
35.9% 2.78 —
26.7% 3.75 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.4% 1.87 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

70.7% 1.41 —
55.3% 1.81 —
39.6% 2.52 —

Away corners

59.8% 1.67 —
42.9% 2.33 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Cards

85.0% 1.18 —
71.0% 1.41 —
54.6% 1.83 —
39.3% 2.55 —
28.9% 3.45 —
45.4% 2.2 —
60.7% 1.65 —

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