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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Cesena – Palermo

Home 25% 3.99 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 50% 1.99 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 26.0% → 25.1% -1.0 pp
Draw 24.9% → 24.8% -0.1 pp
Away 49.1% → 50.1% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 51.4% → 51.7% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 53.4% → 54.1% +0.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.72 → 2.74 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.68 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.58 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

25.1% 3.99 —
24.8% 4.04 —
50.1% 1.99 —
49.9% 2.01 —
74.9% 1.33 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

18.5% 5.4 —
40.6% 2.46 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Half-time double chance

59.2% 1.69 —
81.5% 1.23 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Both halves

4.9% 20.58 —

HT/FT

12.6% 7.95 —
3.9% 25.58 —
10.3% 9.68 —
15.2% 6.57 —
15.1% 6.64 —
5.7% 17.67 —
33.0% 3.03 —

HT/FT double chance

42.0% 2.38 —
40.0% 2.5 —
36.2% 2.76 —
24.3% 4.12 —
49.8% 2.01 —
44.6% 2.24 —
33.4% 3.0 —
60.6% 1.65 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Total goals

93.5% 1.07 —
75.8% 1.32 —
51.7% 1.94 —
29.5% 3.38 —
24.2% 4.14 —
48.3% 2.07 —
70.5% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Home team goals

66.8% 1.5 —
29.8% 3.35 —

Away team goals

80.8% 1.24 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Both to score

54.1% 1.85 —

Corners

70.7% 1.41 —
59.5% 1.68 —
48.3% 2.07 —
38.0% 2.63 —
28.5% 3.5 —
40.5% 2.47 —
51.7% 1.93 —
62.0% 1.61 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Home corners

71.5% 1.4 —
56.1% 1.78 —
41.4% 2.42 —

Away corners

61.7% 1.62 —
44.8% 2.23 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Cards

80.1% 1.25 —
63.9% 1.56 —
46.8% 2.14 —
31.6% 3.16 —
36.1% 2.77 —
53.2% 1.88 —
68.4% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds