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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-12

Avellino – Empoli

Home 48% 2.1 fair
Draw 26% 3.91 fair
Away 27% 3.72 fair
Expected Goals2.63
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.3% → 47.6% +3.3 pp
Draw 26.2% → 25.6% -0.6 pp
Away 29.5% → 26.9% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 47.9% → 48.9% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 52.1% → 52.1% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.59 → 2.63 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.32 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.6% 2.1 —
25.6% 3.91 —
26.9% 3.72 —
73.2% 1.37 —
52.4% 1.91 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Half-time result

37.9% 2.64 —
42.6% 2.35 —
19.4% 5.15 —

Half-time double chance

80.6% 1.24 —
62.1% 1.61 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Both halves

13.9% 7.17 —

HT/FT

29.9% 3.34 —
5.8% 17.3 —
15.7% 6.38 —
15.6% 6.43 —
11.4% 8.77 —
4.2% 23.58 —
13.2% 7.56 —

HT/FT double chance

66.9% 1.49 —
59.2% 1.69 —
35.0% 2.86 —
41.9% 2.39 —
47.3% 2.11 —
25.5% 3.93 —
37.4% 2.67 —
42.3% 2.37 —
44.4% 2.25 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
74.0% 1.35 —
48.9% 2.05 —
27.2% 3.68 —
26.0% 3.84 —
51.1% 1.96 —
72.9% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

67.5% 1.48 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Home team goals

78.7% 1.27 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Away team goals

66.2% 1.51 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Both to score

52.1% 1.92 —

Corners

66.9% 1.49 —
55.2% 1.81 —
44.3% 2.26 —
34.2% 2.93 —
25.6% 3.91 —
44.8% 2.23 —
55.7% 1.79 —
65.8% 1.52 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Home corners

65.5% 1.53 —
49.4% 2.03 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away corners

62.8% 1.59 —
46.4% 2.15 —
31.4% 3.18 —

Cards

83.5% 1.2 —
68.9% 1.45 —
52.4% 1.91 —
36.9% 2.71 —
31.1% 3.21 —
47.6% 2.1 —
63.1% 1.59 —

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