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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-12

Paris SG – Paris FC

Home 66% 1.51 fair
Draw 19% 5.24 fair
Away 15% 6.83 fair
Expected Goals3.14
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 66.3% → 66.2% -0.1 pp
Draw 19.5% → 19.1% -0.4 pp
Away 14.2% → 14.6% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 58.7% → 60.3% +1.6 pp
Both teams to score 51.9% → 53.6% +1.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.04 → 3.14 +0.1
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.33 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.2% 1.51 —
19.1% 5.24 —
14.6% 6.83 —
85.4% 1.17 —
33.8% 2.96 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Half-time result

38.6% 2.59 —
41.3% 2.42 —
20.1% 4.97 —

Half-time double chance

79.9% 1.25 —
61.4% 1.63 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Both halves

23.9% 4.18 —

HT/FT

35.2% 2.84 —
25.2% 3.97 —
11.0% 9.09 —
5.1% 19.76 —
5.9% 17.04 —
5.3% 18.73 —
8.9% 11.22 —

HT/FT double chance

74.1% 1.35 —
66.1% 1.51 —
19.5% 5.13 —
49.1% 2.04 —
50.6% 1.98 —
17.7% 5.65 —
47.4% 2.11 —
45.1% 2.22 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
81.7% 1.22 —
60.3% 1.66 —
38.1% 2.63 —
18.3% 5.46 —
39.7% 2.52 —
61.9% 1.61 —

1st-half goals

69.6% 1.44 —
33.2% 3.02 —

Home team goals

88.6% 1.13 —
64.3% 1.55 —

Away team goals

60.3% 1.66 —
24.0% 4.17 —

Both to score

53.6% 1.87 —

Corners

67.8% 1.47 —
56.6% 1.77 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.3% 2.83 —
26.7% 3.75 —
43.4% 2.3 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.7% 1.55 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

82.3% 1.22 —
70.7% 1.41 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Away corners

36.4% 2.75 —
21.2% 4.72 —
11.2% 8.91 —

Cards

61.2% 1.64 —
40.9% 2.45 —
25.2% 3.96 —
14.2% 7.02 —
59.1% 1.69 —
74.8% 1.34 —
85.8% 1.17 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds