Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-12
Nice – Lens
Home
32%
3.17 fair
Draw
26%
3.8 fair
Away
42%
2.37 fair
Expected Goals2.69
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.7%
→
31.5%
+2.8 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
26.3%
+0.6 pp
Away
45.6%
→
42.1%
-3.4 pp
Over 2.5
48.3%
→
50.4%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
52.1%
→
54.8%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.69
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 6.9% | 14.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.34 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.39 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.33 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Both to score
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — |
Away corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds