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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-12

Le Havre – Le Mans

Home 41% 2.43 fair
Draw 26% 3.88 fair
Away 33% 3.03 fair
Expected Goals2.72
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.6% → 41.2% +10.6 pp
Draw 23.6% → 25.8% +2.1 pp
Away 45.8% → 33.1% -12.8 pp
Over 2.5 58.5% → 51.1% -7.4 pp
Both teams to score 60.6% → 54.6% -6.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.04 → 2.72 -0.32
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.2% 2.43 —
25.8% 3.88 —
33.1% 3.03 —
67.0% 1.49 —
58.8% 1.7 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

24.0% 4.17 —
42.3% 2.37 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Half-time double chance

66.2% 1.51 —
76.0% 1.32 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.12 —

HT/FT

19.3% 5.18 —
3.6% 28.09 —
17.9% 5.59 —
15.0% 6.68 —
9.4% 10.64 —
4.0% 25.13 —
7.2% 13.83 —
22.5% 4.44 —

HT/FT double chance

55.8% 1.79 —
47.7% 2.1 —
29.0% 3.44 —
34.1% 2.93 —
46.9% 2.13 —
34.4% 2.9 —
44.1% 2.27 —
53.8% 1.86 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.2% 1.33 —
51.1% 1.96 —
29.0% 3.44 —
24.8% 4.04 —
48.9% 2.05 —
71.0% 1.41 —

1st-half goals

68.7% 1.45 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Home team goals

76.3% 1.31 —
42.2% 2.37 —

Away team goals

71.5% 1.4 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Both to score

54.6% 1.83 —

Corners

63.7% 1.57 —
52.5% 1.9 —
41.3% 2.42 —
31.6% 3.17 —
23.3% 4.29 —
47.5% 2.11 —
58.7% 1.7 —
68.4% 1.46 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Home corners

71.4% 1.4 —
56.1% 1.78 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Away corners

50.3% 1.99 —
33.3% 3.0 —
20.6% 4.86 —

Cards

74.5% 1.34 —
57.1% 1.75 —
40.1% 2.49 —
25.9% 3.86 —
42.9% 2.33 —
59.9% 1.67 —
74.1% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds