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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-12

Brest – Troyes

Home 64% 1.57 fair
Draw 21% 4.79 fair
Away 16% 6.45 fair
Expected Goals2.75
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 70.5% → 63.6% -6.9 pp
Draw 17.3% → 20.9% +3.6 pp
Away 12.2% → 15.5% +3.3 pp
Over 2.5 63.5% → 52.1% -11.4 pp
Both teams to score 53.6% → 47.6% -6.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.28 → 2.75 -0.53
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.0 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.6% 1.57 —
20.9% 4.79 —
15.5% 6.45 —
84.5% 1.18 —
36.4% 2.75 —
79.1% 1.26 —

Half-time result

45.7% 2.19 —
35.1% 2.85 —
19.2% 5.21 —

Half-time double chance

80.8% 1.24 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Both halves

23.2% 4.31 —

HT/FT

42.5% 2.35 —
18.2% 5.5 —
12.9% 7.73 —
4.0% 25.06 —
5.3% 19.01 —
11.0% 9.07 —

HT/FT double chance

76.3% 1.31 —
65.2% 1.53 —
20.1% 4.98 —
53.4% 1.87 —
57.0% 1.76 —
19.5% 5.14 —
39.3% 2.55 —
36.1% 2.77 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
75.8% 1.32 —
52.1% 1.92 —
29.6% 3.38 —
24.2% 4.13 —
47.9% 2.09 —
70.4% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

77.8% 1.29 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Home team goals

85.5% 1.17 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Away team goals

55.7% 1.8 —
20.2% 4.95 —

Both to score

47.6% 2.1 —

Corners

63.7% 1.57 —
51.9% 1.92 —
40.8% 2.45 —
30.6% 3.27 —
22.4% 4.47 —
48.0% 2.08 —
59.2% 1.69 —
69.4% 1.44 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Home corners

54.8% 1.83 —
37.4% 2.67 —
23.8% 4.19 —

Away corners

68.0% 1.47 —
52.0% 1.92 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Cards

70.5% 1.42 —
51.9% 1.93 —
35.5% 2.82 —
22.3% 4.49 —
48.1% 2.08 —
64.5% 1.55 —
77.7% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds