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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-12

Shrewsbury – Port Vale

Home 27% 3.65 fair
Draw 29% 3.45 fair
Away 44% 2.29 fair
Expected Goals2.17
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 25.8% → 27.4% +1.7 pp
Draw 29.1% → 29.0% -0.2 pp
Away 45.1% → 43.6% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 33.8% → 36.8% +3.1 pp
Both teams to score 39.5% → 43.1% +3.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.05 → 2.17 +0.12
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.03 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.1 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.4% 3.65 —
29.0% 3.45 —
43.6% 2.29 —
56.4% 1.77 —
72.6% 1.38 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Half-time result

14.2% 7.04 —
48.3% 2.07 —
37.5% 2.67 —

Half-time double chance

62.5% 1.6 —
85.8% 1.17 —
51.7% 1.93 —

Both halves

4.6% 21.83 —

HT/FT

10.5% 9.56 —
14.4% 6.95 —
19.4% 5.16 —
14.5% 6.87 —
6.8% 14.73 —
28.1% 3.56 —

HT/FT double chance

47.0% 2.13 —
40.3% 2.48 —
37.7% 2.65 —
22.6% 4.42 —
42.1% 2.38 —
38.6% 2.59 —
43.1% 2.32 —
59.6% 1.68 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Total goals

88.7% 1.13 —
64.5% 1.55 —
36.8% 2.71 —
17.3% 5.77 —
35.5% 2.82 —
63.1% 1.58 —
82.7% 1.21 —

1st-half goals

58.6% 1.71 —
22.1% 4.53 —

Home team goals

60.5% 1.65 —
23.9% 4.19 —

Away team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Both to score

43.1% 2.32 —

Corners

64.9% 1.54 —
52.9% 1.89 —
41.6% 2.4 —
30.9% 3.23 —
22.4% 4.47 —
47.1% 2.12 —
58.4% 1.71 —
69.0% 1.45 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Home corners

70.4% 1.42 —
54.5% 1.83 —
39.3% 2.55 —

Away corners

53.6% 1.86 —
36.5% 2.74 —
22.9% 4.38 —

Cards

74.7% 1.34 —
56.5% 1.77 —
38.9% 2.57 —
24.6% 4.07 —
43.5% 2.3 —
61.1% 1.64 —
75.5% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds