Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-12
Crawley Town – Newport County
Home
41%
2.45 fair
Draw
26%
3.81 fair
Away
33%
3.04 fair
Expected Goals2.61
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.2%
→
40.8%
-0.4 pp
Draw
26.3%
→
26.2%
-0.1 pp
Away
32.5%
→
32.9%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
49.6%
→
48.4%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
54.1%
→
53.2%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.66 →
2.61
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.3% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Both halves
| 9.4% | 10.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Both to score
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Away corners
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Cards
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds