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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-12

Barnet – Northampton

Home 48% 2.08 fair
Draw 30% 3.31 fair
Away 22% 4.58 fair
Expected Goals1.92
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.530%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.7% → 48.0% -5.8 pp
Draw 28.1% → 30.2% +2.1 pp
Away 18.2% → 21.9% +3.7 pp
Over 2.5 32.6% → 29.6% -3.0 pp
Both teams to score 35.8% → 35.5% -0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.01 → 1.92 -0.09
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.0% 2.08 —
30.2% 3.31 —
21.9% 4.58 —
78.1% 1.28 —
52.0% 1.92 —
69.8% 1.43 —

Half-time result

32.9% 3.04 —
46.5% 2.15 —
20.6% 4.85 —

Half-time double chance

79.4% 1.26 —
67.1% 1.49 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Both halves

12.1% 8.26 —

HT/FT

29.0% 3.44 —
3.4% 29.41 —
17.2% 5.8 —
22.1% 4.54 —
7.2% 13.87 —
4.7% 21.1 —
14.2% 7.05 —

HT/FT double chance

71.7% 1.39 —
53.9% 1.85 —
33.1% 3.02 —
38.9% 2.57 —
45.4% 2.2 —
22.8% 4.39 —
45.7% 2.19 —
40.3% 2.48 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Total goals

85.5% 1.17 —
57.3% 1.75 —
29.6% 3.37 —
12.8% 7.81 —
42.7% 2.34 —
70.4% 1.42 —
87.2% 1.15 —

1st-half goals

63.2% 1.58 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Home team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
34.2% 2.92 —

Away team goals

50.9% 1.96 —
15.9% 6.3 —

Both to score

35.5% 2.81 —

Corners

72.8% 1.37 —
62.1% 1.61 —
51.0% 1.96 —
40.3% 2.48 —
30.7% 3.26 —
37.9% 2.64 —
49.0% 2.04 —
59.7% 1.67 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Home corners

81.1% 1.23 —
68.2% 1.47 —
53.7% 1.86 —

Away corners

50.6% 1.98 —
33.2% 3.01 —
20.4% 4.91 —

Cards

72.5% 1.38 —
53.8% 1.86 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.2% 4.51 —
46.2% 2.16 —
63.7% 1.57 —
77.8% 1.28 —

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