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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-12

Chesterfield – Grimsby

Home 46% 2.16 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 29% 3.4 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.7% → 46.3% -0.4 pp
Draw 24.6% → 24.3% -0.4 pp
Away 28.7% → 29.4% +0.8 pp
Over 2.5 54.9% → 58.2% +3.3 pp
Both teams to score 57.3% → 60.4% +3.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.87 → 3.05 +0.18
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.23 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.3% 2.16 —
24.3% 4.12 —
29.4% 3.4 —
70.6% 1.42 —
53.7% 1.86 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

38.2% 2.62 —
35.1% 2.84 —
26.7% 3.75 —

Half-time double chance

73.4% 1.36 —
61.8% 1.62 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Both halves

13.9% 7.2 —

HT/FT

31.2% 3.21 —
5.4% 18.38 —
12.7% 7.91 —
13.7% 7.29 —
8.8% 11.39 —
5.1% 19.61 —
19.1% 5.24 —

HT/FT double chance

63.0% 1.59 —
54.2% 1.85 —
29.5% 3.39 —
44.2% 2.26 —
54.3% 1.84 —
31.2% 3.21 —
33.9% 2.95 —
43.0% 2.33 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Total goals

94.9% 1.05 —
80.4% 1.24 —
58.2% 1.72 —
36.6% 2.73 —
19.6% 5.11 —
41.8% 2.39 —
63.4% 1.58 —

1st-half goals

80.5% 1.24 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Home team goals

81.9% 1.22 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Away team goals

73.4% 1.36 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Both to score

60.4% 1.66 —

Corners

77.5% 1.29 —
67.8% 1.47 —
57.6% 1.74 —
47.0% 2.13 —
36.9% 2.71 —
32.2% 3.11 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.0% 1.89 —
63.1% 1.58 —

Home corners

80.6% 1.24 —
68.0% 1.47 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Away corners

60.4% 1.66 —
43.6% 2.29 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Cards

76.3% 1.31 —
58.6% 1.71 —
41.1% 2.43 —
26.5% 3.77 —
41.4% 2.42 —
58.9% 1.7 —
73.5% 1.36 —

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