Fixtures / Greece / 2026-12-12
Iraklis – Aris
Home
38%
2.65 fair
Draw
29%
3.43 fair
Away
33%
3.02 fair
Expected Goals2.22
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.3%
→
37.7%
-2.6 pp
Draw
31.4%
→
29.1%
-2.3 pp
Away
28.3%
→
33.1%
+4.9 pp
Over 2.5
29.2%
→
38.1%
+8.9 pp
Both teams to score
36.6%
→
44.9%
+8.3 pp
Expected Goals
1.88 →
2.22
+0.34
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Both halves
| 7.8% | 12.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.0% | 5.87 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.36 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 22.99 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Total goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — |
Both to score
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Corners
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 88.4% | 1.13 | — |
Home corners
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — |
Away corners
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — |
Cards
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds