Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-12
Zwolle – Excelsior
Home
42%
2.37 fair
Draw
24%
4.11 fair
Away
33%
2.99 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.4%
→
42.2%
+8.8 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
24.3%
+0.6 pp
Away
42.9%
→
33.5%
-9.4 pp
Over 2.5
59.2%
→
57.7%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
61.3%
→
59.8%
-1.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.08 →
3.0
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 11.6% | 8.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.23 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.14 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.85 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.23 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.82 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Both to score
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Away corners
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — |
Cards
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.78 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds