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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-12

Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles

Home 48% 2.11 fair
Draw 23% 4.4 fair
Away 30% 3.36 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 41.7% → 47.5% +5.8 pp
Draw 22.9% → 22.8% -0.1 pp
Away 35.5% → 29.8% -5.7 pp
Over 2.5 61.9% → 63.7% +1.8 pp
Both teams to score 62.8% → 64.3% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.19 → 3.29 +0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.69 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 2.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.5% 2.11 —
22.8% 4.4 —
29.8% 3.36 —
70.2% 1.42 —
52.5% 1.9 —
77.2% 1.29 —

Half-time result

39.1% 2.56 —
37.8% 2.65 —
23.2% 4.32 —

Half-time double chance

76.8% 1.3 —
61.0% 1.64 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

14.7% 6.79 —

HT/FT

30.1% 3.32 —
6.2% 16.16 —
14.6% 6.83 —
12.0% 8.35 —
11.2% 8.94 —
4.6% 21.83 —
15.8% 6.31 —

HT/FT double chance

62.9% 1.59 —
58.7% 1.7 —
32.1% 3.12 —
43.6% 2.29 —
51.4% 1.94 —
29.3% 3.41 —
33.9% 2.95 —
44.4% 2.25 —
43.6% 2.3 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.0% 1.19 —
63.7% 1.57 —
41.9% 2.39 —
16.0% 6.25 —
36.3% 2.75 —
58.1% 1.72 —

1st-half goals

75.0% 1.33 —
40.6% 2.46 —

Home team goals

84.2% 1.19 —
55.1% 1.82 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
41.8% 2.39 —

Both to score

64.3% 1.56 —

Corners

78.4% 1.28 —
68.9% 1.45 —
58.8% 1.7 —
48.3% 2.07 —
38.6% 2.59 —
31.1% 3.21 —
41.2% 2.43 —
51.7% 1.94 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Home corners

81.0% 1.23 —
69.0% 1.45 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Away corners

60.7% 1.65 —
43.9% 2.28 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Cards

48.1% 2.08 —
29.4% 3.4 —
16.1% 6.2 —
8.2% 12.17 —
70.6% 1.42 —
83.9% 1.19 —
91.8% 1.09 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds