Man City – Chelsea
Home
63%
1.6 fair
Draw
20%
5.12 fair
Away
18%
5.56 fair
Expected Goals3.3
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.8%
→
62.5%
-3.3 pp
Draw
18.4%
→
19.5%
+1.2 pp
Away
15.8%
→
18.0%
+2.2 pp
Over 2.5
65.0%
→
64.2%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
58.1%
→
59.2%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.36 →
3.3
-0.06
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.12 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
HT/FT
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.35 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.61 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.89 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.2 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.9% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Both to score
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
Away corners
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Cards
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds