Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-12

Liverpool – Leeds

Home 58% 1.74 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 20% 5.07 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.0% → 57.6% +1.6 pp
Draw 22.5% → 22.6% +0.1 pp
Away 21.4% → 19.7% -1.7 pp
Over 2.5 56.9% → 53.2% -3.7 pp
Both teams to score 56.2% → 52.4% -3.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.97 → 2.82 -0.15
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.6% 1.74 —
22.6% 4.42 —
19.7% 5.07 —
80.3% 1.25 —
42.4% 2.36 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Half-time result

32.1% 3.12 —
48.8% 2.05 —
19.2% 5.22 —

Half-time double chance

80.8% 1.24 —
67.9% 1.47 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Both halves

16.9% 5.91 —

HT/FT

27.5% 3.63 —
3.4% 29.41 —
25.8% 3.88 —
14.4% 6.93 —
8.6% 11.66 —
4.3% 23.09 —
4.8% 20.88 —
10.0% 9.96 —

HT/FT double chance

71.1% 1.41 —
63.0% 1.59 —
27.5% 3.63 —
40.1% 2.5 —
43.0% 2.32 —
19.4% 5.17 —
49.3% 2.03 —
48.7% 2.05 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.07 —
76.7% 1.3 —
53.2% 1.88 —
31.6% 3.17 —
23.3% 4.3 —
46.8% 2.14 —
68.4% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

59.7% 1.67 —
23.1% 4.34 —

Home team goals

84.0% 1.19 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Away team goals

62.4% 1.6 —
25.6% 3.91 —

Both to score

52.4% 1.91 —

Corners

73.8% 1.36 —
63.9% 1.56 —
53.5% 1.87 —
43.1% 2.32 —
33.8% 2.96 —
36.1% 2.77 —
46.5% 2.15 —
56.9% 1.76 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Home corners

82.6% 1.21 —
70.9% 1.41 —
57.5% 1.74 —

Away corners

49.0% 2.04 —
32.2% 3.1 —
19.6% 5.1 —

Cards

69.9% 1.43 —
51.2% 1.95 —
34.7% 2.88 —
21.6% 4.64 —
48.8% 2.05 —
65.3% 1.53 —
78.4% 1.27 —

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