Liverpool – Leeds
Home
58%
1.74 fair
Draw
23%
4.42 fair
Away
20%
5.07 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.0%
→
57.6%
+1.6 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
22.6%
+0.1 pp
Away
21.4%
→
19.7%
-1.7 pp
Over 2.5
56.9%
→
53.2%
-3.7 pp
Both teams to score
56.2%
→
52.4%
-3.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
2.82
-0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Both halves
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.41 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.66 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.09 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.88 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Both to score
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
Away corners
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — |
Cards
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds