Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-07 20:00
Valencia – Real Madrid
Home
17%
5.91 fair
Draw
22%
4.46 fair
Away
61%
1.65 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Valencia – Real Madrid
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Valencia – Real Madrid
Expected Goals2.68
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
18.1%
→
16.9%
-1.2 pp
Draw
22.2%
→
22.4%
+0.2 pp
Away
59.7%
→
60.7%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
52.2%
→
50.0%
-2.2 pp
Both teams to score
50.4%
→
48.2%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.76 →
2.68
-0.08
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.2% | 13.87 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.11 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — |
Home team goals
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Both to score
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Away corners
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Cards
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds