Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-07 13:00
Malaga – Santander
Home
36%
2.79 fair
Draw
22%
4.55 fair
Away
42%
2.37 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Malaga – Santander
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Malaga – Santander
Expected Goals3.47
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.9%
→
35.8%
+10.9 pp
Draw
21.9%
→
22.0%
+0.1 pp
Away
53.2%
→
42.2%
-11.0 pp
Over 2.5
63.3%
→
67.4%
+4.1 pp
Both teams to score
62.6%
→
67.6%
+5.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.28 →
3.47
+0.19
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — |
Both halves
| 9.5% | 10.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.43 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.88 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 88.8% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Both to score
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Corners
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Home corners
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Away corners
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — |
Cards
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds