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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-11

Sochaux – Montpellier

Home 18% 5.67 fair
Draw 32% 3.11 fair
Away 50% 1.99 fair
Expected Goals1.67
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score28%
Over 2.524%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 24.4% → 17.6% -6.8 pp
Draw 40.0% → 32.2% -7.9 pp
Away 35.5% → 50.2% +14.7 pp
Over 2.5 14.3% → 23.6% +9.4 pp
Both teams to score 22.5% → 28.1% +5.6 pp
Expected Goals 1.3 → 1.67 +0.37
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.97 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

17.6% 5.67 —
32.2% 3.11 —
50.2% 1.99 —
49.8% 2.01 —
82.4% 1.21 —
67.8% 1.47 —

Half-time result

13.1% 7.66 —
53.3% 1.88 —
33.6% 2.97 —

Half-time double chance

66.4% 1.51 —
87.0% 1.15 —
46.7% 2.14 —

HT/FT

8.8% 11.34 —
3.1% 32.05 —
8.2% 12.21 —
25.6% 3.91 —
19.6% 5.11 —
3.5% 28.9 —
29.5% 3.38 —

HT/FT double chance

45.7% 2.19 —
37.7% 2.65 —
49.4% 2.03 —
16.0% 6.24 —
40.1% 2.49 —
37.2% 2.69 —
37.9% 2.64 —
57.9% 1.73 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Total goals

80.9% 1.24 —
49.5% 2.02 —
23.6% 4.23 —
8.9% 11.21 —
50.5% 1.98 —
76.4% 1.31 —
91.1% 1.1 —

1st-half goals

52.6% 1.9 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Home team goals

41.6% 2.41 —
10.2% 9.78 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
31.3% 3.2 —

Both to score

28.1% 3.56 —

Corners

72.6% 1.38 —
62.3% 1.6 —
51.6% 1.94 —
41.5% 2.41 —
31.8% 3.14 —
37.7% 2.66 —
48.4% 2.07 —
58.5% 1.71 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Home corners

68.6% 1.46 —
52.4% 1.91 —
37.4% 2.67 —

Away corners

69.0% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
60.4% 1.66 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.8% 3.36 —
39.6% 2.52 —
55.9% 1.79 —
70.2% 1.42 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds