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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-11

Pau FC – St Etienne

Home 22% 4.61 fair
Draw 22% 4.65 fair
Away 57% 1.76 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.1% → 21.7% +1.6 pp
Draw 20.5% → 21.5% +1.0 pp
Away 59.5% → 56.8% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 65.0% → 60.4% -4.6 pp
Both teams to score 61.9% → 59.2% -2.7 pp
Expected Goals 3.37 → 3.16 -0.21
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.12 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.67 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

21.7% 4.61 —
21.5% 4.65 —
56.8% 1.76 —
43.2% 2.31 —
78.3% 1.28 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

17.4% 5.76 —
35.0% 2.86 —
47.7% 2.1 —

Half-time double chance

52.3% 1.91 —
82.6% 1.21 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Both halves

4.4% 22.52 —

HT/FT

11.2% 8.89 —
3.9% 25.71 —
8.3% 11.99 —
11.9% 8.4 —
14.7% 6.8 —
5.7% 17.48 —
39.9% 2.51 —

HT/FT double chance

35.4% 2.82 —
36.5% 2.74 —
32.7% 3.06 —
23.0% 4.36 —
55.4% 1.8 —
51.7% 1.93 —
28.1% 3.56 —
65.0% 1.54 —
72.2% 1.38 —

Total goals

95.6% 1.05 —
81.8% 1.22 —
60.4% 1.66 —
38.9% 2.57 —
18.2% 5.49 —
39.6% 2.52 —
61.1% 1.64 —

1st-half goals

77.8% 1.28 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Home team goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Away team goals

85.9% 1.16 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both to score

59.2% 1.69 —

Corners

65.1% 1.54 —
53.3% 1.88 —
42.6% 2.35 —
32.4% 3.09 —
23.8% 4.2 —
46.7% 2.14 —
57.4% 1.74 —
67.7% 1.48 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Home corners

64.3% 1.55 —
47.7% 2.1 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
44.9% 2.23 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Cards

79.5% 1.26 —
63.7% 1.57 —
47.8% 2.09 —
33.0% 3.03 —
36.3% 2.76 —
52.2% 1.92 —
67.0% 1.49 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds