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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-11

Metz – Reims

Home 41% 2.46 fair
Draw 23% 4.36 fair
Away 36% 2.75 fair
Expected Goals3.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.1% → 40.6% -1.5 pp
Draw 24.9% → 23.0% -1.9 pp
Away 33.1% → 36.4% +3.3 pp
Over 2.5 54.4% → 63.3% +8.9 pp
Both teams to score 57.4% → 64.2% +6.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.87 → 3.26 +0.39
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.9 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.07 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.6% 2.46 —
23.0% 4.36 —
36.4% 2.75 —
63.6% 1.57 —
59.4% 1.68 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Half-time result

44.0% 2.27 —
34.3% 2.91 —
21.6% 4.62 —

Half-time double chance

78.3% 1.28 —
56.0% 1.79 —
65.6% 1.52 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.43 —

HT/FT

31.4% 3.19 —
8.0% 12.53 —
4.6% 21.55 —
8.1% 12.29 —
12.0% 8.31 —
14.2% 7.06 —
17.6% 5.69 —

HT/FT double chance

59.5% 1.68 —
58.3% 1.71 —
38.8% 2.58 —
43.4% 2.3 —
54.7% 1.83 —
33.2% 3.02 —
24.2% 4.13 —
41.0% 2.44 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
83.1% 1.2 —
63.3% 1.58 —
41.2% 2.43 —
16.9% 5.91 —
36.6% 2.73 —
58.8% 1.7 —

1st-half goals

80.8% 1.24 —
50.5% 1.98 —

Home team goals

81.0% 1.23 —
50.3% 1.99 —

Away team goals

79.0% 1.27 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Both to score

64.2% 1.56 —

Corners

62.3% 1.6 —
50.8% 1.97 —
39.6% 2.53 —
29.6% 3.38 —
21.6% 4.62 —
49.2% 2.03 —
60.4% 1.66 —
70.4% 1.42 —
78.4% 1.28 —

Home corners

63.0% 1.59 —
46.0% 2.17 —
31.5% 3.18 —

Away corners

59.5% 1.68 —
42.2% 2.37 —
27.9% 3.59 —

Cards

72.4% 1.38 —
54.8% 1.83 —
37.8% 2.64 —
24.5% 4.08 —
45.2% 2.21 —
62.2% 1.61 —
75.5% 1.32 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds