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Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2026-12-11

Boulogne – Rodez

Home 33% 3.02 fair
Draw 29% 3.5 fair
Away 38% 2.61 fair
Expected Goals2.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.2% → 33.1% +4.9 pp
Draw 27.8% → 28.6% +0.8 pp
Away 44.0% → 38.3% -5.7 pp
Over 2.5 42.6% → 40.8% -1.9 pp
Both teams to score 47.3% → 47.3% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.39 → 2.33 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.1% 3.02 —
28.6% 3.5 —
38.3% 2.61 —
61.7% 1.62 —
66.9% 1.49 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Half-time result

17.5% 5.72 —
49.9% 2.0 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Half-time double chance

67.4% 1.48 —
82.5% 1.21 —
50.1% 2.0 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.23 —

HT/FT

13.0% 7.67 —
3.2% 30.96 —
17.0% 5.87 —
18.9% 5.3 —
14.0% 7.14 —
6.5% 15.36 —
23.1% 4.33 —

HT/FT double chance

52.2% 1.92 —
45.3% 2.21 —
37.3% 2.68 —
25.8% 3.88 —
40.3% 2.48 —
34.1% 2.94 —
45.4% 2.2 —
57.1% 1.75 —
62.5% 1.6 —

Total goals

90.0% 1.11 —
67.5% 1.48 —
40.8% 2.45 —
20.7% 4.82 —
32.5% 3.08 —
59.2% 1.69 —
79.2% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

57.9% 1.73 —
21.8% 4.6 —

Home team goals

66.8% 1.5 —
30.5% 3.27 —

Away team goals

70.4% 1.42 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Both to score

47.3% 2.11 —

Corners

70.5% 1.42 —
60.4% 1.66 —
49.0% 2.04 —
38.7% 2.59 —
29.2% 3.42 —
39.7% 2.52 —
51.0% 1.96 —
61.3% 1.63 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Home corners

66.3% 1.51 —
49.9% 2.0 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away corners

68.2% 1.47 —
52.4% 1.91 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Cards

74.2% 1.35 —
57.0% 1.76 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.4% 3.79 —
43.0% 2.32 —
59.7% 1.67 —
73.6% 1.36 —

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