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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-08

Sampdoria – Modena

Home 28% 3.59 fair
Draw 29% 3.48 fair
Away 43% 2.3 fair
Expected Goals2.2
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.0% → 27.8% -2.1 pp
Draw 29.9% → 28.7% -1.2 pp
Away 40.1% → 43.4% +3.3 pp
Over 2.5 34.8% → 37.9% +3.1 pp
Both teams to score 41.9% → 43.9% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.1 → 2.2 +0.1
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.95 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.8% 3.59 —
28.7% 3.48 —
43.4% 2.3 —
56.6% 1.77 —
72.2% 1.39 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Half-time result

24.0% 4.16 —
44.4% 2.25 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Half-time double chance

68.4% 1.46 —
75.9% 1.32 —
55.6% 1.8 —

Both halves

5.5% 18.32 —

HT/FT

17.1% 5.87 —
5.0% 19.88 —
9.6% 10.38 —
19.4% 5.17 —
15.4% 6.49 —
4.3% 22.99 —
26.1% 3.84 —

HT/FT double chance

51.1% 1.96 —
44.0% 2.27 —
41.8% 2.4 —
27.6% 3.63 —
46.2% 2.16 —
37.4% 2.67 —
34.5% 2.9 —
52.2% 1.91 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Total goals

88.8% 1.13 —
64.5% 1.55 —
37.9% 2.64 —
18.0% 5.56 —
35.5% 2.82 —
62.1% 1.61 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

66.0% 1.51 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Home team goals

61.3% 1.63 —
24.6% 4.06 —

Away team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Both to score

43.9% 2.28 —

Corners

63.8% 1.57 —
51.6% 1.94 —
40.5% 2.47 —
30.4% 3.29 —
21.8% 4.58 —
48.4% 2.07 —
59.5% 1.68 —
69.6% 1.44 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Home corners

65.0% 1.54 —
48.4% 2.07 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Away corners

57.8% 1.73 —
41.0% 2.44 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Cards

88.2% 1.13 —
75.9% 1.32 —
60.8% 1.65 —
45.3% 2.21 —
24.1% 4.15 —
39.2% 2.55 —
54.7% 1.83 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds