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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-08

Benevento – Padova

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 29% 3.4 fair
Away 23% 4.28 fair
Expected Goals2.03
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score39%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.3% → 47.3% +2.9 pp
Draw 29.9% → 29.4% -0.6 pp
Away 25.8% → 23.4% -2.4 pp
Over 2.5 33.3% → 33.3% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 39.3% → 39.2% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.02 → 2.03 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.3% 2.12 —
29.4% 3.4 —
23.4% 4.28 —
76.6% 1.3 —
52.7% 1.9 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Half-time result

35.1% 2.85 —
51.1% 1.96 —
13.8% 7.27 —

Half-time double chance

86.2% 1.16 —
64.9% 1.54 —
48.9% 2.05 —

Both halves

12.1% 8.25 —

HT/FT

28.4% 3.52 —
5.2% 19.38 —
17.5% 5.71 —
21.1% 4.73 —
12.5% 8.01 —
3.1% 32.57 —
9.3% 10.73 —

HT/FT double chance

72.2% 1.39 —
59.9% 1.67 —
40.3% 2.48 —
38.0% 2.63 —
40.6% 2.46 —
19.1% 5.23 —
43.1% 2.32 —
40.7% 2.46 —
46.0% 2.17 —

Total goals

86.9% 1.15 —
60.0% 1.67 —
33.3% 3.0 —
14.7% 6.79 —
40.0% 2.5 —
66.7% 1.5 —
85.3% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

55.6% 1.8 —
19.6% 5.12 —

Home team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away team goals

54.8% 1.83 —
18.5% 5.4 —

Both to score

39.2% 2.55 —

Corners

77.5% 1.29 —
67.8% 1.47 —
57.5% 1.74 —
47.2% 2.12 —
37.4% 2.67 —
32.2% 3.11 —
42.5% 2.35 —
52.8% 1.89 —
62.6% 1.6 —

Home corners

83.4% 1.2 —
71.6% 1.4 —
57.8% 1.73 —

Away corners

55.8% 1.79 —
38.8% 2.58 —
25.2% 3.96 —

Cards

83.4% 1.2 —
68.0% 1.47 —
51.9% 1.93 —
36.4% 2.74 —
32.0% 3.12 —
48.1% 2.08 —
63.6% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds