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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-08

Arezzo – Cesena

Home 26% 3.82 fair
Draw 27% 3.71 fair
Away 47% 2.14 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.1% → 26.2% -1.9 pp
Draw 22.5% → 27.0% +4.5 pp
Away 49.4% → 46.8% -2.6 pp
Over 2.5 65.0% → 42.8% -22.3 pp
Both teams to score 65.2% → 47.6% -17.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.36 → 2.4 -0.96
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.26 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.2% 3.82 —
27.0% 3.71 —
46.8% 2.14 —
53.2% 1.88 —
73.8% 1.36 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

10.6% 9.47 —
59.8% 1.67 —
29.7% 3.37 —

Half-time double chance

70.3% 1.42 —
89.4% 1.12 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Both halves

3.1% 32.57 —

HT/FT

6.7% 14.88 —
17.2% 5.82 —
19.5% 5.13 —
23.1% 4.33 —
5.0% 19.88 —
22.3% 4.48 —

HT/FT double chance

45.9% 2.18 —
48.4% 2.07 —
46.5% 2.15 —
16.5% 6.05 —
32.7% 3.06 —
31.2% 3.21 —
44.0% 2.27 —
64.9% 1.54 —
70.0% 1.43 —

Total goals

91.2% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —
42.8% 2.34 —
22.2% 4.5 —
31.0% 3.23 —
57.2% 1.75 —
77.8% 1.29 —

1st-half goals

44.3% 2.26 —
11.9% 8.4 —

Home team goals

62.9% 1.59 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Away team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Both to score

47.6% 2.1 —

Corners

64.2% 1.56 —
53.0% 1.89 —
41.8% 2.39 —
31.1% 3.21 —
22.6% 4.42 —
47.0% 2.13 —
58.2% 1.72 —
68.9% 1.45 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
48.7% 2.05 —
34.1% 2.94 —

Away corners

59.5% 1.68 —
42.7% 2.34 —
28.3% 3.54 —

Cards

76.7% 1.3 —
59.1% 1.69 —
41.2% 2.43 —
26.6% 3.77 —
40.9% 2.45 —
58.8% 1.7 —
73.4% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds