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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-08

Hartlepool – Forest Green

Home 29% 3.43 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 46% 2.17 fair
Expected Goals2.67
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 26.7% → 29.1% +2.5 pp
Draw 26.8% → 24.7% -2.0 pp
Away 46.6% → 46.1% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 45.6% → 49.6% +3.9 pp
Both teams to score 49.8% → 53.1% +3.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.5 → 2.67 +0.17
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.34 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.79 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.1% 3.43 —
24.7% 4.04 —
46.1% 2.17 —
53.9% 1.86 —
70.9% 1.41 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

25.6% 3.9 —
45.9% 2.18 —
28.5% 3.51 —

Half-time double chance

71.5% 1.4 —
74.4% 1.34 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Both halves

6.1% 16.29 —

HT/FT

16.7% 6.0 —
5.5% 18.25 —
3.5% 28.82 —
11.1% 9.01 —
15.2% 6.56 —
19.5% 5.12 —
4.0% 24.88 —
23.1% 4.32 —

HT/FT double chance

48.5% 2.06 —
50.8% 1.97 —
43.7% 2.29 —
27.5% 3.63 —
44.6% 2.24 —
36.1% 2.77 —
31.7% 3.15 —
55.1% 1.81 —
61.9% 1.61 —

Total goals

93.5% 1.07 —
74.7% 1.34 —
49.6% 2.02 —
27.7% 3.61 —
25.3% 3.95 —
50.4% 1.98 —
72.3% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

64.4% 1.55 —
27.8% 3.6 —

Home team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Away team goals

78.1% 1.28 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Both to score

53.1% 1.88 —

Corners

78.3% 1.28 —
68.1% 1.47 —
56.9% 1.76 —
45.7% 2.19 —
34.9% 2.87 —
31.9% 3.13 —
43.1% 2.32 —
54.3% 1.84 —
65.1% 1.54 —

Home corners

72.5% 1.38 —
56.3% 1.78 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Away corners

73.4% 1.36 —
57.4% 1.74 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Cards

70.1% 1.43 —
51.1% 1.96 —
33.4% 2.99 —
20.0% 5.01 —
48.9% 2.05 —
66.6% 1.5 —
80.0% 1.25 —

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