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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-22

Atalanta – Inter

Home 25% 3.99 fair
Draw 22% 4.52 fair
Away 53% 1.89 fair
Expected Goals3.21
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.1% → 25.1% -3.1 pp
Draw 23.5% → 22.1% -1.4 pp
Away 48.4% → 52.8% +4.4 pp
Over 2.5 59.8% → 62.4% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 60.4% → 61.5% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.08 → 3.21 +0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.93 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.16 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

25.1% 3.99 —
22.1% 4.52 —
52.8% 1.89 —
47.2% 2.12 —
74.9% 1.33 —
77.9% 1.28 —

Half-time result

26.2% 3.82 —
35.1% 2.84 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Half-time double chance

61.4% 1.63 —
73.8% 1.36 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Both halves

5.4% 18.62 —

HT/FT

16.5% 6.06 —
6.0% 16.58 —
3.7% 27.17 —
7.2% 13.79 —
11.8% 8.5 —
16.2% 6.19 —
4.3% 23.15 —
33.0% 3.03 —

HT/FT double chance

41.5% 2.41 —
43.6% 2.29 —
37.6% 2.66 —
28.2% 3.55 —
54.5% 1.84 —
47.0% 2.13 —
24.6% 4.06 —
57.7% 1.73 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Total goals

96.0% 1.04 —
83.3% 1.2 —
62.4% 1.6 —
39.4% 2.54 —
16.7% 5.98 —
37.6% 2.66 —
60.6% 1.65 —

1st-half goals

79.4% 1.26 —
46.9% 2.13 —

Home team goals

71.9% 1.39 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Away team goals

85.6% 1.17 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Both to score

61.5% 1.63 —

Corners

62.2% 1.61 —
51.0% 1.96 —
40.3% 2.48 —
30.7% 3.25 —
22.7% 4.41 —
49.0% 2.04 —
59.8% 1.67 —
69.3% 1.44 —
77.3% 1.29 —

Home corners

53.5% 1.87 —
37.1% 2.69 —
23.9% 4.18 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
51.0% 1.96 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Cards

58.5% 1.71 —
38.5% 2.6 —
22.7% 4.41 —
12.1% 8.29 —
61.5% 1.63 —
77.3% 1.29 —
87.9% 1.14 —

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