Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-22
Milan – Frosinone
Home
52%
1.92 fair
Draw
21%
4.69 fair
Away
27%
3.76 fair
Expected Goals3.49
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.5%
→
52.1%
-0.4 pp
Draw
23.3%
→
21.3%
-1.9 pp
Away
24.3%
→
26.6%
+2.3 pp
Over 2.5
56.9%
→
67.8%
+11.0 pp
Both teams to score
57.6%
→
66.4%
+8.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
3.49
+0.52
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Both halves
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.16 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 13.04 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.4 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.32 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.87 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Total goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.34 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Both to score
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Away corners
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Cards
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds