Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-11-22
Sassuolo – Genoa
Home
36%
2.76 fair
Draw
26%
3.88 fair
Away
38%
2.64 fair
Expected Goals2.69
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.3%
→
36.3%
-5.0 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
25.8%
-1.1 pp
Away
31.8%
→
37.9%
+6.1 pp
Over 2.5
48.2%
→
50.2%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
53.1%
→
54.6%
+1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.69
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 8.9% | 11.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.61 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.47 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.16 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Both to score
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Away corners
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Cards
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds