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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-22

Marseille – Le Mans

Home 59% 1.7 fair
Draw 19% 5.23 fair
Away 22% 4.51 fair
Expected Goals3.88
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.574%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.42 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
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16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.7% 1.7 —
19.1% 5.23 —
22.1% 4.51 —
77.8% 1.28 —
41.3% 2.42 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Half-time result

39.9% 2.51 —
31.0% 3.22 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Half-time double chance

70.9% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.66 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Both halves

22.1% 4.54 —

HT/FT

35.7% 2.8 —
3.2% 31.55 —
17.0% 5.9 —
9.2% 10.87 —
4.9% 20.49 —
6.0% 16.61 —
6.8% 14.79 —
16.3% 6.13 —

HT/FT double chance

65.1% 1.54 —
58.6% 1.71 —
18.2% 5.49 —
51.7% 1.93 —
59.0% 1.69 —
27.2% 3.68 —
38.9% 2.57 —
44.1% 2.27 —
37.1% 2.69 —

Total goals

89.8% 1.11 —
74.2% 1.35 —
54.2% 1.85 —
10.2% 9.79 —
25.8% 3.88 —
45.8% 2.18 —

1st-half goals

85.8% 1.17 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Home team goals

91.0% 1.1 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Away team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Both to score

69.8% 1.43 —

Corners

67.3% 1.49 —
56.6% 1.77 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.8% 2.79 —
26.5% 3.77 —
43.4% 2.31 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.2% 1.56 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Home corners

78.9% 1.27 —
66.1% 1.51 —
52.5% 1.9 —

Away corners

42.5% 2.35 —
26.3% 3.81 —
14.7% 6.81 —

Cards

78.3% 1.28 —
61.6% 1.62 —
44.4% 2.25 —
30.0% 3.33 —
38.4% 2.6 —
55.6% 1.8 —
70.0% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds