Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-22
Marseille – Le Mans
Home
73%
1.38 fair
Draw
15%
6.6 fair
Away
12%
8.25 fair
Expected Goals3.74
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.572%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
58.7%
→
72.7%
+14.0 pp
Draw
19.1%
→
15.2%
-4.0 pp
Away
22.1%
→
12.1%
-10.0 pp
Over 2.5
74.2%
→
72.2%
-2.1 pp
Both teams to score
69.8%
→
60.0%
-9.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.88 →
3.74
-0.14
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.25 | — | |||
| 87.9% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — |
HT/FT
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.95 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.25 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.32 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Total goals
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Both to score
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Away corners
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.94 | — |
Cards
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds