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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-22

Paris FC – Angers

Home 65% 1.53 fair
Draw 21% 4.66 fair
Away 13% 7.52 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 58.2% → 65.2% +7.1 pp
Draw 25.0% → 21.5% -3.5 pp
Away 16.8% → 13.3% -3.5 pp
Over 2.5 41.4% → 47.7% +6.4 pp
Both teams to score 41.2% → 43.0% +1.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.34 → 2.58 +0.24
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.65 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

65.2% 1.53 —
21.5% 4.66 —
13.3% 7.52 —
86.7% 1.15 —
34.8% 2.88 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

57.6% 1.73 —
34.8% 2.87 —
7.6% 13.23 —

Half-time double chance

92.4% 1.08 —
42.4% 2.36 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Both halves

23.3% 4.29 —

HT/FT

50.1% 1.99 —
5.9% 16.84 —
14.1% 7.11 —
13.6% 7.34 —
7.1% 14.12 —
4.6% 21.6 —

HT/FT double chance

83.8% 1.19 —
72.9% 1.37 —
28.2% 3.54 —
59.0% 1.69 —
57.4% 1.74 —
14.1% 7.12 —
30.6% 3.26 —
26.8% 3.73 —
27.3% 3.67 —

Total goals

92.5% 1.08 —
73.2% 1.37 —
47.7% 2.09 —
25.8% 3.88 —
26.8% 3.74 —
52.2% 1.91 —
74.3% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

72.0% 1.39 —
36.6% 2.73 —

Home team goals

84.7% 1.18 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Away team goals

50.8% 1.97 —
15.8% 6.34 —

Both to score

43.0% 2.33 —

Corners

64.8% 1.54 —
53.4% 1.87 —
41.7% 2.4 —
31.7% 3.16 —
23.3% 4.29 —
46.6% 2.15 —
58.3% 1.72 —
68.3% 1.46 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Home corners

68.8% 1.45 —
53.1% 1.88 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Away corners

55.1% 1.81 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.4% 4.09 —

Cards

66.8% 1.5 —
47.5% 2.11 —
30.5% 3.28 —
18.4% 5.44 —
52.5% 1.9 —
69.5% 1.44 —
81.6% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds